Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511e4f617cbdf200aed1dce58c174f4714ae5c0603d62a7d4502ac172ac0a565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 16,688$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 13,003$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 2c | 12,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…de2abacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,655$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 6,422$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…9bc7backed Yes | 4c | 4,296$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…0dc7backed Yes | 6c | 3,972$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,299$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 1c | 3,289$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,740$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 15.5%13 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,606$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,587$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…4619backed Yes | 4c | 2,530$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…9725backed Yes | 1c | 2,290$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 1,915$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,765$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 1c | 1,716$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0134…c2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,631$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 1c | 1,585$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…8a28backed Yes | 3c | 1,466$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 7c | 1,352$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8418…efe0backed Yes | 4c | 1,342$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,339$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e5…9ecbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…f6b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,252$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 1c | 1,210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…a521backed Yes | 3c | 1,193$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 3c | 1,186$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…efdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Yes | 1c | 1,162$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 1c | 1,137$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…42c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 2c | 779.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 765.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…4c87backed Yes | 4c | 765.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…4b19backed Yes | 3c | 750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 3c | 736.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…258bbacked Yes | 4c | 707.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…9eefbacked Yes | 1c | 685.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…eb5bbacked Yes | 3c | 645$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…ae35backed Yes | 4c | 583.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…d4e7backed Yes | 4c | 551.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 533.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.34 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91f…9212backed Yes | 4c | 494.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 3c | 453.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…cc0abacked Yes | 4c | 447.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 3c | 400.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabb…74d2backed Yes | 3c | 386.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 383.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…21c5backed Yes | 4c | 362.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…ccf9backed Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 3c | 325$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…8a62backed Yes | 4c | 263.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.