Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9555e6c4da9369ac9bc23c250bb697aab93593cc06776febe0fad48add06ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 4c | 16,935$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.5 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 3c | 15,719$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 8,228$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 2c | 6,625$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 2c | 6,163$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,855$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 2c | 5,034$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,757$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f91dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,099$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 5c | 3,009$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 4c | 2,548$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…83f4backed Yes | 3c | 2,281$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 34c | 2,179$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.87 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,111$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,983$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 1,951$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 2c | 1,787$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…f8f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,783$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.83 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…dcbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,644$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,642$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 1,324$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.23 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…f861backed Yes | 2c | 1,094$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…df7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…fd3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 7c | 927.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…6900backed Yes | 2c | 875.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 4c | 865.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 812.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 741.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 2c | 738.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…5d26backed Yes | 3c | 691.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…8d57backed Yes | 8c | 619.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 581.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 505.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 3c | 495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 47c | 484.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 469.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…4222backed Yes | 4c | 455.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 7c | 419.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…599abacked Yes | 2c | 404.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…9eefbacked Yes | 3c | 400.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…ee3abacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 3c | 390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 4c | 349.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…d447backed Yes | 7c | 255.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 239.12$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 7c | 182.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +18.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.