TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e37…03d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: F1, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST6547.7%31 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+116.8%+$551.49
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$105.6
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$142.8
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.96
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.57
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$129.4
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$109.5
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$95.89
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$171.6
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$115.94
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+334.8%+$182.32
Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$88.14
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.09
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.41
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.05
Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.7
Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Verstappen?backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.56
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+832.2%+$479.01
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Russell?backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$174.13
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Will Bosnia win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64.99
Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Poland win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Finland win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22.16
Will Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$71.69
Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$115.5
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.69
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$105.6
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Wales win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+542.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+7,887.1%+$4,058.88
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$162.56
Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.16
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+118.8%+$964.83
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked VVD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$247.99
Will D66 win 20 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Party for Freedom win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$39.72
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.2%+$110.48
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.73
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$10.62
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
RB Salzburg vs. Real Madrid: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Atlético Madrid vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.9
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Charlotte FC beat New York Red Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Great Britain vs Lithuaniabacked Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2025 LIV Golf Indianapolis tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sassuolo be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.