Champions League · resolved market
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671316aa6809db322466af8ea20395fc6a5e168e7bb1c991e68e010ff23d5cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 36c | 1,634$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,613$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.56 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 44c | 1,025$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.27 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 65c | 726.91$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed No | 75c | 670.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 29c | 640.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 36c | 530.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 391.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 44c | 204.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked No | 58c | 115.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4e…979cbacked No | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes | 42c | 92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 61c | 71.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 56c | 62.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Yes | 42c | 44.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…b1f2backed No | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…aafebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 58c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.