TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x013b…01cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT8417.9%15 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$399.3
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+1,398.1%+$1,398.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$495.32
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+180.1%+$342.75
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+454.5%+$2,824.97
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+147.6%+$179.1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$356.86
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.87
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+1,363.5%+$4,084.66
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$208.88
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$101.82
Will Erling Haaland score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$60.96
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Benfica vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
RB Salzburg vs. Real Madrid: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+101.8%+$280.92
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Juventus vs. Manchester City: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+89.8%+$76.62
Borussia Dortmund vs. Ulsan: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Al Hilal beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
RB Salzburg vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Juventus vs. Wydad AC: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+99.2%+$124.02
Inter Milan vs. Urawa: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LAFC vs. Esperance Sportive: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
PSG vs. Botafogo: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$532.62
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$304.71
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$72.69
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Timberwolves vs. Nets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Nets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
76ers vs. Nets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.17
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+137.2%+$68.61
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$237.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.02
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$18.03
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$85.28
Rockies vs. Nationalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$233.88
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+93.8%+$195.05
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+100%+$430.93
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66%+$65.97
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196.72
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$280.66
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance) backed Costa Rica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-73.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$29.81
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
AZ vs. NEC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$94.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+123.4%+$123.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$199
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Colgate Raiders (-4.5)backed Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.