MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1c6f6110e1a57678e8e2ec6baebe91c5c11a167d4ffb5d7e34619905fd7bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Twins | 67c | 44,502$29,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,701.96 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 41c | 23,033$9,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,335.96 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 30c | 16,354$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 61c | 7,868$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 63c | 6,994$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.29 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 25c | 6,798$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.99 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 45c | 6,769$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 31c | 6,633$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Marlins | 29c | 4,182$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.39 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Marlins | 38c | 3,178$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Marlins | 35c | 2,913$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.63 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Twins | 71c | 2,842$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.23 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 35c | 2,563$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.15 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Marlins | 39c | 2,291$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.43 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 47c | 1,928$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins | 52c | 1,883$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.92 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 55c | 1,746$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.63 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 30c | 1,738$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.48 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,507$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.18 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 66c | 1,441$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 52c | 1,277$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Twins | 68c | 1,082$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.22 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Marlins | 47c | 1,080$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.33 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Twins | 54c | 1,077$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.74 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Marlins | 48c | 1,022$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.42 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…05febacked Marlins | 46c | 983$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…8506backed Twins | 53c | 974$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Twins | 56c | 969.85$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed Marlins | 47c | 966$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…0ba4backed Twins | 54c | 961$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Twins | 54c | 939$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Twins | 53c | 936$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Marlins | 47c | 934$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…a997backed Twins | 53c | 926$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…9368backed Marlins | 46c | 917$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 48c | 830.61$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 29c | 798.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Marlins | 37c | 697.58$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 9c | 696.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Marlins | 48c | 681.51$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.17 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Twins | 58c | 657.28$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Marlins | 46c | 657$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Twins | 67c | 628.55$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Twins | 54c | 556.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Marlins | 17c | 540.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 52c | 530.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Twins | 79c | 529.36$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Marlins | 40c | 513.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 35c | 447.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Marlins | 31c | 445.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Marlins | 40c | 435.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Twins | 56c | 393.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 73c | 371.39$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 47c | 330$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 47c | 318.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Marlins | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 65c | 304.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Twins | 54c | 285.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 34c | 273$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Twins | 67c | 251.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 43c | 234.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 25c | 231.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Marlins | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Marlins | 48c | 208.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Twins | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…e8f5backed Marlins | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Twins | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Twins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…6b35backed Marlins | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Twins | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Twins | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…4e3cbacked Marlins | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Marlins | 26c | 152.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 18c | 151.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 19c | 151.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 52c | 150.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Twins | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Marlins | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…b270backed Marlins | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…e711backed Marlins | 47c | 138.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 66c | 136.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…46f8backed Twins | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…ad90backed Marlins | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Twins | 54c | 128.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Marlins | 47c | 127.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.