TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes16c60,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,399.973357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No74c57,847$43,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,062.651947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,80011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes44c11,531$5,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.847447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No56c11,195$6,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.155444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No56c5,572$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.113141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No57c4,190$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.026451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c3,323$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.717648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3758637.2%32 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes45c2,320$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No55c2,047$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.833429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No61c1,981$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.835347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c1,822$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.293050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes44c1,664$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.339552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c1,525$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.642,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c1,013$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9826010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.997423%17 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes37c991.51$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes45c967$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.263438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes43c923.93$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes44c899$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+145.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe794…d9ebbacked Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce51…198cbacked Yes44c834.89$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No57c776.99$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.8915847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes3c730$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+98.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes45c721.75$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes18c705.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.562650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No55c700.92$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c677$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.232540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6738055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c599.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.999048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Yes43c460$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed No55c459.97$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes23c437.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.881450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…e0c4backed Yes45c421.37$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes19c421.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+155.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd757…94aabacked Yes19c370.42$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No62c337.19$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9415064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes45c335.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.861973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes45c334$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.85650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes45c311.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes21c307.44$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4514726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.59621.9%21 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.55044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.510347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c247.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8433945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.448363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes37c234.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.15143.1%22 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes45c223.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes21c208.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.823721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…8359backed Yes10c206$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+453.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes20c201.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes39c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.53351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed No56c199.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes30c197.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652d…8dbcbacked Yes44c188$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5c…234cbacked No56c187$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2414…48fcbacked No56c186$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30d…368abacked Yes44c185$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No54c178.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.783467.6%23 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No77c155.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.113050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes44c129$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2410235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf01…0f44backed Yes45c126.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes42c120.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c113.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3251136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes22c102.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.913339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes43c99.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes44c90.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes45c89.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.362650%13 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…95dcbacked Yes45c83.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes44c83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.483551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c99…2c2abacked Yes44c81.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked No56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.83129%9 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf240…4040backed Yes26c78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+93.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked No56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes46c65.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.13455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x953d…c08fbacked Yes45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.