Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582277d98d0d72c630c12b973ef6ce11ae1abe50be7cc49ce8aa1aa949345fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 71c | 12,875$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 8,172$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.57 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 6,712$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 38c | 6,621$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.16 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 4,712$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 3,449$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.38 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 3,318$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.12 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 3,184$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.84 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 2,526$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.81 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,479$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 2,389$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.4 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,281$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.43 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 2,041$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.78 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,773$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,746$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.6 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed Yes | 29c | 1,690$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 71c | 1,690$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.03 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 1,661$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.96 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Yes | 63c | 1,584$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Yes | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked No | 70c | 1,487$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,478$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,468$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.84 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 1,367$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.29 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 1,367$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.15 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,307$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.91 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…5f72backed Yes | 58c | 1,276$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 1,246$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 1,231$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.04 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 1,197$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.01 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed No | 46c | 1,155$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 71c | 1,152$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,051$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.03 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 992$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 71c | 992$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed No | 35c | 945.02$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 39c | 929.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 882.65$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.56 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 29c | 854$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 785$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.05 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 71c | 750$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Yes | 60c | 646.58$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked Yes | 29c | 642.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7424backed No | 70c | 642$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…e0c4backed Yes | 31c | 609.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 53c | 588.04$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.65 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 540$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 71c | 511$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 29c | 497$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 8c | 362.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 30c | 360.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Yes | 59c | 325.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 67c | 323.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…654abacked Yes | 68c | 322.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 310.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…1e92backed No | 71c | 308$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…9e11backed Yes | 31c | 308$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Yes | 66c | 296$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…4040backed Yes | 7c | 296$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 293.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 70c | 288$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 70c | 288$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 71c | 283$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 43c | 255.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 39c | 230.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed No | 45c | 219.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 66c | 215$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 57c | 198.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 57c | 185.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 31c | 163.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446a…af10backed Yes | 58c | 157.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 156$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 132.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…aa25backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…ec5ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 29c | 87.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…234dbacked Yes | 57c | 75.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 45c | 73.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.