TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee13…0ff0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$226.62
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.4%+$19.9
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$71.28
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$75.29
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$105.05
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+363.9%+$582.25
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+39.1%+$62.74
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$178.3
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.52
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+233.3%+$198.33
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$68.34
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+112.9%+$103.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.9%+$120.58
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$175.18
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37.5%+$47.81
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$99.18
Dota 2: OG vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.22
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+189.5%+$77.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$31.06
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$94.01
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$105.82
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$172.05
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Hawaii vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.11
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucknell Bison vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+53.2%+$45.33
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+82.5%+$98.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$89.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$82.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$71.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$190.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.