TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Yandex (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Heroic, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25f4…20e0backed Heroic7c10,664$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Heroic40c9,842$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.016750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Yandex67c9,807$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,207.014746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex64c9,306$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.762,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Heroic53c6,953$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.3919148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7039…6b24backed Heroic3c6,823$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Team Yandex65c5,850$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.119047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Heroic1c5,341$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.413458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Heroic34c4,602$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.456237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex51c3,867$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.2914840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex45c3,777$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.3534146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Heroic28c3,657$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.0710236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Heroic50c3,621$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic32c3,515$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.4933850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Yandex48c2,765$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.588253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Heroic52c2,692$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Yandex76c2,662$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.393557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex79c2,572$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0118075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Team Yandex71c2,082$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.6410340.8%42 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Heroic17c1,774$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4919246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Heroic2c1,700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic39c1,654$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.041,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Yandex46c1,584$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.6219943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Yandex63c1,563$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0517950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Heroic33c1,527$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Heroic46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6907143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex63c1,320$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex72c1,207$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0825444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic25c1,067$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9522033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Yandex56c1,052$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.246451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Team Yandex49c993.98$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9710941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Heroic41c988.44$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.736963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Heroic51c946.62$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5312351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex54c924.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.6541055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1946…e255backed Team Yandex52c817.97$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.821361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Heroic47c815.95$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38712147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Heroic53c793.71$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42023465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex48c730$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Heroic32c660.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.643321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked Heroic10c599.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic31c581.89$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.928411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic36c565$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2531545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex74c563.4$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.414446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Yandex49c556.93$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.037047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex58c510.34$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3438049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Team Yandex49c500.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.342623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25085851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Heroic32c475.12$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.295538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Team Yandex49c425.7$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.582020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex48c402.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479f…5bfcbacked Heroic32c389.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team Yandex56c376.21$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Yandex53c375.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5534443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Yandex47c373.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8913346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic53c367$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1525348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Heroic29c347.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1214251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2259250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Heroic51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15317146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Yandex53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Team Yandex52c250.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Heroic45c242.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9966…f991backed Heroic32c236.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.771428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex67c235.75$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0420361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Yandex52c228.92$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8816232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.537832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Heroic55c216.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.886352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd718…aa13backed Team Yandex77c209.39$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.212240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex37c207.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8739936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Team Yandex50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0ab…4e67backed Team Yandex63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Heroic53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9934154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Heroic31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Heroic52c193.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Heroic52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fb…793ebacked Heroic52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Heroic52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Heroic52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Heroic52c192$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex47c181$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Heroic51c173.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.277630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Yandex55c170.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4813450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Heroic29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5962841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed Team Yandex63c137.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.372147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Yandex75c133.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7310659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Yandex59c130$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3936442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Team Yandex55c124.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7722538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4591356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked Heroic50c121.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Team Yandex76c121.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.578066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09fc…4cd4backed Heroic31c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5100%0 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Team Yandex52c114.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.986943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…ae7bbacked Heroic31c112.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe816…74c5backed Heroic40c105.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Heroic51c105.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Heroic52c104.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.174139%16 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.