TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ed…3ae6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.04
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$211.96
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$127.04
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+82.8%+$160.33
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$69.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$102.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+57.4%+$114.79
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$32.18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.3%+$62.98
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$137.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+82.3%+$215.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+54.2%+$92.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$186.06
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.5%+$87.42
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.47
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$285.77
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$62.32
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+43.6%+$150.65
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$56.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$32.92
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.63
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+65%+$40.17
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$164.68
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+39.3%+$69.74
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$15.37
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$37.18
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.4%+$132.49
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$191.62
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$214.57
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+36.4%+$61.81
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+88.8%+$18.81
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+80%+$27.99
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+172.5%+$40.46
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.26
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.5%+$17.84
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+57.5%+$23
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$205.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+114.6%+$64.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.05
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.9%+$21.54
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$71.06
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.7%+$52.48
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$199.81
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$344.81
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$22.48
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.29
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.84
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$38.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.38
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Davis Aggies vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$23.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$47.43
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$111.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+226%+$685.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+65%+$129.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$29.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.