Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f9563eb371169f087aac90aef85a6d188c79825f03ff037fa30d045d939517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Falcons, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 25,809$13,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,527.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Yandex | 21c | 16,078$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,709.36 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Team Yandex | 48c | 13,677$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,157.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Yandex | 24c | 12,358$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.81 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 35c | 11,666$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,563.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex | 27c | 9,546$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.55 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 9,417$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Team Yandex | 44c | 8,809$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 7,998$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Team Falcons | 1c | 7,970$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 7,394$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.86 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 23c | 6,550$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.28 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 6,264$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.89 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Yandex | 19c | 6,015$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.45 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex | 20c | 5,963$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.74 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Team Yandex | 60c | 4,940$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,800$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 4,787$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 4,562$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.51 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Team Falcons | 56c | 4,373$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Yandex | 23c | 4,062$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.86 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Yandex | 18c | 3,937$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.29 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 3,677$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.39 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 61c | 3,650$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 3,525$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.66 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 78c | 3,403$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.57 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Yandex | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,975$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,498$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex | 19c | 2,469$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.82 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,459$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.96 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 2,392$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.84 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,344$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.8 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex | 44c | 2,191$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.03 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,181$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.5 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,112$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 2,089$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.59 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 1,711$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.61 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,601$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.54 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,446$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,360$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex | 78c | 1,343$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 992.65$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Team Yandex | 52c | 983.59$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 925$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Team Falcons | 80c | 875$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Team Yandex | 48c | 836.53$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 785.63$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 774.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…2855backed Team Yandex | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 80c | 758.74$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.99 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Falcons | 77c | 728.06$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…a9a8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 725.57$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 664.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Falcons | 79c | 654.24$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Team Yandex | 49c | 653.44$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Team Yandex | 19c | 639.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.95 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex | 24c | 635.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.87 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Yandex | 61c | 632.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 56c | 590.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 584.76$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Yandex | 26c | 568.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.87 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 556.3$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…89adbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 530.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 505.47$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.55 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 505.42$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Team Falcons | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Team Falcons | 54c | 477.56$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons | 80c | 468$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.69 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 460$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Yandex | 47c | 426.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Team Falcons | 48c | 406.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 400.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 400$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 394.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Team Yandex | 63c | 390.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5372backed Team Falcons | 79c | 387.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Team Yandex | 48c | 365.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Team Falcons | 55c | 347.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 347.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons | 77c | 340$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Team Falcons | 76c | 338.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Team Yandex | 79c | 328.54$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 325$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Falcons | 76c | 324.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.