Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ce20d7d676f4c103a25f2cdbceff9acd0ff1d4f2e6dd67bac3404edc79d90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Falcons, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 25,622$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,639.41 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Falcons | 71c | 20,164$14,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,336.1 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 14,402$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,793.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 67c | 8,966$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.38 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Team Yandex | 74c | 7,000$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 70c | 5,425$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.69 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Falcons | 72c | 4,581$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 3,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 61c | 3,278$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.43 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 3,018$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex | 49c | 2,950$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.05 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,736$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.69 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,592$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.56 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 32c | 2,394$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Yandex | 30c | 1,818$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.02 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,715$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.71 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex | 31c | 1,605$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.97 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Team Falcons | 5c | 1,571$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.13 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.96 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex | 38c | 1,415$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.29 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 1,414$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.24 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 1,318$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.81 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 73c | 1,280$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,270$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,220$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.79 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Team Yandex | 72c | 1,170$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Team Yandex | 33c | 1,154$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 1,013$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Falcons | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 999.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.98 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Yandex | 23c | 912.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.83 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Team Yandex | 52c | 711.64$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.17 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…0e18backed Team Falcons | 65c | 661.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Falcons | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 70c | 574.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.75 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 570.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 543.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Yandex | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 476.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Yandex | 28c | 464.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 432$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Team Yandex | 53c | 417.51$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Yandex | 28c | 406.07$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Team Yandex | 46c | 382.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 338.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Yandex | 37c | 313.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 313.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Team Yandex | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c95abacked Team Yandex | 64c | 304.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Falcons | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…3464backed Team Yandex | 30c | 288.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Team Yandex | 28c | 279.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Team Yandex | 42c | 276.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 273.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 75c | 263.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 246.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Yandex | 73c | 205.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Team Falcons | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Yandex | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Yandex | 29c | 172.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Falcons | 27c | 159.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed Team Falcons | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Yandex | 35c | 133.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Yandex | 74c | 131.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 125.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…4b27backed Team Yandex | 38c | 122.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Team Yandex | 38c | 116.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…1c09backed Team Yandex | 73c | 115.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Team Yandex | 31c | 113.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 101.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked Team Falcons | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Falcons | 69c | 99.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…c4e7backed Team Yandex | 53c | 94.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…5b89backed Team Falcons | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 89.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 85.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 83.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…8c23backed Team Falcons | 41c | 82.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Team Yandex | 74c | 82.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Yandex | 32c | 77.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Team Falcons | 73c | 75.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.