TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a9…c1d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.02
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$22.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$30.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$34.94
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,102.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.3%+$8.11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$142.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.4%+$23.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.5%+$9.47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+98.8%+$578
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+39.7%+$30.74
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+126.3%+$407.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26%+$262.38
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$81.73
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.2%+$68.56
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+30.4%+$116.67
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+36.9%+$317.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+45.9%+$48.72
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+55.7%+$497.42
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+95.8%+$22.02
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.08
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.24
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+488.2%+$83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.7%+$183.33
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53.1
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+733.3%+$264
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$5.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$66.34
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+36.7%+$135.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$234.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+59.5%+$17.85
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,969Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,040.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$63.34
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs K27 (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.2%+$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.