TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,065,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,173,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Nets22c286,278$62,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,781.178022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets21c130,267$27,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,356.081,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Raptors79c109,391$86,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,81236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Raptors78c75,000$58,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,25020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Raptors78c66,446$51,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,618.2124650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Nets15c50,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors78c40,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors78c30,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors79c27,455$21,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x968b…e907backed Raptors78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Nets21c25,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.997149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nets20c24,658$4,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,931.6572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Raptors79c17,988$14,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.3837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Nets12c16,381$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.9547144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Nets21c15,334$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.1469852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Raptors79c12,586$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.9312529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors78c12,487$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets17c10,465$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Raptors78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors78c9,778$7,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.5744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nets22c8,846$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.4727041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8302…806ebacked Nets6c8,841$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.912030%6 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Nets19c7,946$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.622,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets19c6,581$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.3974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Raptors80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55b8…1876backed Nets20c5,950$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nets20c5,553$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.642,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Raptors79c5,500$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.9916446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Nets21c4,759$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9958846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Nets18c4,709$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.6712334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c74…d632backed Raptors70c4,500$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets20c4,230$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Raptors79c4,212$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.517050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Nets21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets3c3,677$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Nets20c3,500$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.983125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Nets21c3,213$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7216053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets29c3,017$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.7647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Nets28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Nets21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Raptors80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ed…6609backed Nets9c2,667$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.011323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Raptors76c2,635$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9617250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors80c2,555$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.8976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raptors78c2,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nets20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcce…099fbacked Nets19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9660%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x734e…7eb5backed Raptors79c2,388$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…dd71backed Nets20c2,350$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6a…1a00backed Raptors71c2,282$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Nets20c2,222$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2610235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nets20c2,105$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Nets22c2,053$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.652740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…fae0backed Raptors80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Raptors79c2,000$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42529458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Nets4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets21c2,000$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Raptors75c1,996$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.3326038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets17c1,908$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Nets19c1,838$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets1c1,796$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.428820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets15c1,764$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.282,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors78c1,764$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0844648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets19c1,700$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors78c1,691$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.322,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets20c1,682$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4146342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Raptors79c1,645$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.4524048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors78c1,529$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Raptors79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31523348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee2e…f422backed Raptors80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed Nets20c1,500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed Raptors78c1,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+117.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Nets19c1,423$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.415945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fa…2f1fbacked Raptors71c1,406$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a9…bdd3backed Nets20c1,400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets21c1,400$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b52…99cfbacked Nets22c1,400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Raptors75c1,396$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.961,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0d…0381backed Nets20c1,318$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Raptors71c1,253$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.351753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bff…6f0cbacked Raptors80c1,249$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.882540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Raptors78c1,220$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6913042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Nets15c1,217$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.931430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets2c1,210$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.367911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0621…13d1backed Nets23c1,200$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…d195backed Raptors78c1,200$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Raptors80c1,185$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Raptors79c1,132$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.652152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Nets20c1,120$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22434942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Nets21c1,119$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a7…8652backed Nets20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013258.3%77 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f25…a115backed Nets23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Nets9c1,062$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5859743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Nets19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8d…c1f7backed Raptors78c1,050$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd2…1102backed Nets20c1,030$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Raptors78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169c…ced1backed Nets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Raptors80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.