Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38dc1c5b184138742ad493d73d131d353714e4fd300d6d3d54424019c7216c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 39c | 15,545$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.94 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed OG | 50c | 13,111$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Heroic | 37c | 12,008$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.32 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Heroic | 45c | 7,627$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed OG | 54c | 7,439$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.5 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 56c | 5,544$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.67 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 44c | 4,026$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.49 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 40c | 3,696$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.75 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Heroic | 49c | 3,014$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.78 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 45c | 2,625$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Heroic | 40c | 2,498$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.13 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 39c | 2,403$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.7 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Heroic | 44c | 2,386$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OG | 69c | 2,208$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.95 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Heroic | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.99 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed OG | 79c | 2,000$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.6 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked OG | 56c | 1,815$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed OG | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked Heroic | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked OG | 75c | 1,557$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.05 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed OG | 55c | 1,477$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 56c | 1,443$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.65 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…8133backed Heroic | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 54c | 1,049$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.07 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed OG | 56c | 914.02$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…fd89backed OG | 56c | 850$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Heroic | 50c | 802.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…d3dabacked OG | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 26c | 749.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic | 25c | 729.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…31e9backed OG | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked OG | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Heroic | 32c | 535.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed OG | 55c | 534.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 57c | 529.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked OG | 56c | 504.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 55c | 488.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked OG | 57c | 473.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed OG | 68c | 446$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Heroic | 22c | 445.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Heroic | 66c | 431.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Heroic | 43c | 429.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Heroic | 47c | 429.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 10c | 429.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Heroic | 25c | 394.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed OG | 49c | 373.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed OG | 55c | 368.53$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed OG | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed OG | 58c | 325$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked OG | 64c | 317.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed OG | 70c | 312.56$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heroic | 45c | 302.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed OG | 56c | 278.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…3534backed OG | 56c | 259.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked OG | 78c | 256.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked OG | 61c | 213.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Heroic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…6f62backed OG | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Heroic | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…2db7backed OG | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 39c | 188.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heroic | 31c | 187.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Heroic | 54c | 185.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 55c | 183$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…c0cbbacked OG | 54c | 181.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Heroic | 23c | 179.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked OG | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked OG | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Heroic | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Heroic | 27c | 151.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Heroic | 50c | 149.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked OG | 76c | 145.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Heroic | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed OG | 79c | 125.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…793ebacked Heroic | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Heroic | 25c | 124.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Heroic | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…2927backed OG | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed OG | 78c | 103.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a48cbacked Heroic | 20c | 100.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed OG | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed OG | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked OG | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Heroic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Heroic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed OG | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Heroic | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed OG | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked OG | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OG | 69c | 87.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 66c | 84.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic | 49c | 82.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed OG | 52c | 80.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked OG | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed OG | 50c | 75.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed OG | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…4c25backed OG | 76c | 72.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.