TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc91…67a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$251.57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+73.3%+$87.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$68.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+455.6%+$82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$251
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+160.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$137.48
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$541.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$193.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.