Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af98d84e864ddf2bf609681d25624147146d04e8dc5dd26af434faae0e5e729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 46c | 26,326$12,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,127.48 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 8,299$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 7,144$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.69 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed Team Spirit | 57c | 5,419$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked PARIVISION | 2c | 5,340$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,403$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 4,095$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 4,054$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.89 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,698$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.92 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 3,035$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed PARIVISION | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,700$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.3 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,545$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.95 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,961$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,937$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,927$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.87 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…0536backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,873$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,843$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.64 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,819$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.76 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,635$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.66 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…fcd6backed PARIVISION | 5c | 1,440$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed PARIVISION | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,195$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.02 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…efa1backed PARIVISION | 14c | 1,101$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.59 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.65 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c99ebacked PARIVISION | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 978.83$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 968.46$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.75 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked PARIVISION | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 47c | 836.46$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 53c | 800.04$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.92 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Spirit | 44c | 716.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.1 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 714.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 708.78$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 672.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.69 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed PARIVISION | 51c | 652.02$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.07 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 649.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed PARIVISION | 36c | 619.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 47c | 610.73$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 562.75$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed PARIVISION | 49c | 519.81$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Spirit | 57c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 22c | 500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 50c | 492.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.41 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 485.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed PARIVISION | 13c | 467.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Team Spirit | 65c | 461.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 48c | 416.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Spirit | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 348.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed PARIVISION | 10c | 335.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 325.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Team Spirit | 80c | 319.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Team Spirit | 55c | 309.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Team Spirit | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed Team Spirit | 49c | 276.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 274.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 22c | 272.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Spirit | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked PARIVISION | 10c | 261.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Spirit | 64c | 253.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Spirit | 52c | 231.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 37c | 221.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed PARIVISION | 56c | 200.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Spirit | 50c | 200.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed PARIVISION | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed PARIVISION | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…2148backed PARIVISION | 16c | 195.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 50c | 189.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 187.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 185.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed PARIVISION | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Spirit | 66c | 182.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 71c | 180.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 178.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed PARIVISION | 56c | 176.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Spirit | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 174.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 162.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Spirit | 49c | 154.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 153.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.