Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5a11bb2718d94fdfab9039a6246915cfa6c824dc4580677dfe518091c3fb8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked PARIVISION | 0c | 65,410$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 44,063$21,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,649.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 50c | 38,558$19,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,329.16 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION | 13c | 18,414$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.28 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 15,320$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 14,129$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,474.45 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 44c | 8,000$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 7,510$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.45 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Spirit | 44c | 6,185$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.37 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 5,945$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.11 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 52c | 5,860$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.96 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 54c | 4,770$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.8 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed PARIVISION | 75c | 4,314$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.26 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed PARIVISION | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 54c | 3,206$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed PARIVISION | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 2,962$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.29 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 2,789$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.53 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 2,757$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,270$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 2,100$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 1,932$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,916$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…4341backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,820$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 1,572$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.04 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,444$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.98 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,440$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.32 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,225$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.67 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,152$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.57 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,131$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,070$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.13 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 44c | 959.08$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION | 47c | 924.66$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.34 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked PARIVISION | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 65c | 800.01$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.67 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 747.79$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.43 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 605.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.01 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 44c | 563.56$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed PARIVISION | 31c | 550$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked PARIVISION | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Team Spirit | 42c | 476.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed PARIVISION | 13c | 443.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit | 25c | 421.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed PARIVISION | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed PARIVISION | 69c | 379.6$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Spirit | 26c | 377.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 361.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…f760backed Team Spirit | 28c | 355.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…7482backed Team Spirit | 40c | 332.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 317.44$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 301.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed PARIVISION | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 23c | 300$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed PARIVISION | 49c | 294.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed PARIVISION | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed PARIVISION | 69c | 288.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Spirit | 28c | 279.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 269.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION | 58c | 254.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Team Spirit | 26c | 234.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d2f2backed PARIVISION | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 214.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Spirit | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed PARIVISION | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 45c | 199.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 199.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…ff42backed PARIVISION | 73c | 184.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…debbbacked PARIVISION | 11c | 183.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…029ebacked PARIVISION | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 42c | 179.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Team Spirit | 36c | 169.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed PARIVISION | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked PARIVISION | 61c | 165.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit | 44c | 163.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed PARIVISION | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed PARIVISION | 54c | 158.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 156.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 77c | 156.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 44c | 151.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed PARIVISION | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae7…6fe0backed PARIVISION | 68c | 146.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 145.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed PARIVISION | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Spirit | 31c | 128.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed PARIVISION | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked PARIVISION | 12c | 120.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed PARIVISION | 44c | 117$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f744backed Team Spirit | 24c | 111.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.