TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb358…122c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST7255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$70.31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$56.35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$50.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$57.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$51.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$128.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$31.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+124.7%+$79.21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$57.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$49.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$86.16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$46.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+95.3%+$54.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$64.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$52.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+62.2%+$62.2
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST5635.7%20 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$41.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.23
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79.11
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+68.2%+$50.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$47.14
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$67.22
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$102.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+101.7%+$35.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$61.66
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.9%+$26.58
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$25.26
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$52.31
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. UConnbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.02
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$35.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+71%+$28.39
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.