TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof PARIVISION, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION43c17,328$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,440.054,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION47c10,666$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.6745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX53c10,001$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.5346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX50c6,424$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.4372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed PARIVISION56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked PARIVISION24c5,704$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.064219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION35c5,692$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed 3DMAX44c3,879$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.072972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION47c3,228$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.423,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX64c2,632$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.351,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed 3DMAX66c2,521$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.8712571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked PARIVISION50c2,445$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.283237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX44c2,121$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.931,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked 3DMAX53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed 3DMAX47c1,660$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.5915743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION53c1,616$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 3DMAX63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55546545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION43c1,399$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.331,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fa…363cbacked PARIVISION40c1,381$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.491450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed 3DMAX47c1,249$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.8441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed PARIVISION31c1,208$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.819151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked PARIVISION52c1,126$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.673246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed 3DMAX59c1,055$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.51955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2cf…f5fcbacked PARIVISION48c1,038$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed 3DMAX52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION12c900$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX50c866.3$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0826438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed 3DMAX59c853.39$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9913461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked PARIVISION49c825.94$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6222754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked PARIVISION48c714.6$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed 3DMAX49c714.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX49c680$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.85,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed PARIVISION28c599.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.912317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed 3DMAX52c580.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.857955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed 3DMAX53c566.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3813146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0513460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked 3DMAX55c544.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.648038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed PARIVISION17c499.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.821437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed PARIVISION36c465.91$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.383732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed 3DMAX66c451.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.495149%25 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION68c450$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.526743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8d0bbacked 3DMAX61c406.18$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed PARIVISION53c397.36$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.86659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed 3DMAX47c389.36$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4810549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION51c389$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3922554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed 3DMAX52c370.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6511440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da4…4c87backed PARIVISION26c351.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c6…df0fbacked PARIVISION67c322.18$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.86757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION27c320.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.433,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed 3DMAX68c318.9$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5114744.9%66 W · 81 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION35c310$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10760838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed 3DMAX53c301.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8911040.9%45 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked 3DMAX51c282$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1813756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed PARIVISION50c279$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.14562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked 3DMAX77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7425070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed 3DMAX39c252.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7410529.5%31 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed 3DMAX56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11122349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked PARIVISION41c245.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.828736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2113…e555backed PARIVISION52c234.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION46c232.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7698352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed PARIVISION16c227.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8811553%61 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb045…743abacked 3DMAX45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed 3DMAX47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773116.1%5 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed 3DMAX49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0852649%258 W · 268 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked 3DMAX61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7831933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 3DMAX51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed 3DMAX51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION49c196.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0864652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed 3DMAX42c183.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed PARIVISION49c179.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.92718.5%5 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked 3DMAX63c175.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9732352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e7…4152backed PARIVISION67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked PARIVISION41c145$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.159750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed 3DMAX57c143.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x600f…4392backed PARIVISION30c141.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.756058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed 3DMAX71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1878…0d50backed PARIVISION25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.14723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf0…99a2backed 3DMAX71c127.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed 3DMAX73c123.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.545563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed 3DMAX41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed PARIVISION47c119.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.952825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX54c116.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked 3DMAX51c111.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.337255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked 3DMAX53c107.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.552458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked PARIVISION27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed 3DMAX74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2622556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed PARIVISION49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499048.9%44 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked 3DMAX51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked 3DMAX52c96.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8311644%51 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14d4…e535backed PARIVISION52c96.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked PARIVISION52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed PARIVISION66c94.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4310354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…a48cbacked PARIVISION43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed PARIVISION50c91.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5436554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed PARIVISION23c88.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed PARIVISION49c83.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.052944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbeed…c44cbacked 3DMAX63c79.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.062661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed PARIVISION41c78.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0349226%128 W · 364 L-45.2wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.