TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc7e…08fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.02
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.36
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,205.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,248.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$618.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+97.1%+$954.37
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$818.18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+76.3%+$763.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$667.43
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$277.25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$585.67
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+362.2%+$754.04
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$296.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,177.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+109%+$321.42
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,459.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$602
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+91.9%+$449.82
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+88.9%+$230.62
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,830.78
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980.06
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+74.6%+$747.3
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$589.03
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.45
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$452.53
New Haven Chargers vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,052.76
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.3%+$939.26
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.5%+$392.39
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Montana State Bobcatsbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$377.19
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisons: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+74.7%+$373.3
Missouri Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.6%+$207.49
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-6.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+59.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,857.87
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.5%+$825.3
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$851.35
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$109.62
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$960
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+86%+$302.56
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Blues vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$717.3
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500.24
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+116.3%+$775.21
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$510.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+62.6%+$375.81
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$744.7
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$495
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,073.79
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$226.1
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$699.6
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$201.14
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,438Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+90.4%+$1,300.07
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+103.7%+$1,152
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$101.5
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$774
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$526.5
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$426.58
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H Moneylinebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$400.27
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$377.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,364.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,458.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+61.3%+$577.46
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$791.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,277.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$223.73
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$117.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$680.42
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$366.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,074.61
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$554.7
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+300%+$900
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,152.83
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$851.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,250.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,769.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.