Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be809282c890b5cb21a08673f47667859abf8e525bcc3b810868167be09bf6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed MOUZ | 44c | 27,440$12,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,203.76 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 51c | 13,558$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.38 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 8,341$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed MOUZ | 48c | 7,477$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 47c | 6,922$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.43 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,445$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.53 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 4,562$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.6 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,379$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.93 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,030$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.73 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,891$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.3 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 24c | 3,245$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.41 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,210$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 2,733$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.16 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,253$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,141$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,991$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.19 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,861$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.11 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,607$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c95abacked MOUZ | 21c | 1,453$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,439$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,388$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.01 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,320$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.96 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,310$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.78 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,118$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.39 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked MOUZ | 47c | 950$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 917.57$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 895.36$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 711.65$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 50c | 700$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 689.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 656.56$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 636.19$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 600$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 560.61$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 559.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed MOUZ | 29c | 508.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 500.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed MOUZ | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 492.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 469.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 434.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…530ebacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 421.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed MOUZ | 59c | 401.35$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 381.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 369.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 357.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed MOUZ | 8c | 331.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 326.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 313.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 302.28$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed MOUZ | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked MOUZ | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 256.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 47c | 248.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 224.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 220.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed MOUZ | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed MOUZ | 11c | 200.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked MOUZ | 61c | 197.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed MOUZ | 51c | 195.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 20c | 179.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 45c | 178.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 177.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 175.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…63d5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 168.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 158.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 152.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed MOUZ | 46c | 150.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed MOUZ | 50c | 144.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…f042backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked MOUZ | 48c | 137.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 129.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…1047backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 123.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 120.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 116.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 111.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…f4ebbacked MOUZ | 16c | 109.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 109.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed MOUZ | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 99.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.