TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e06…5a9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.3%+$266.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$289.94
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.4%+$279.44
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$485.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$711.01
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.9%+$212.13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$92.34
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$198.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+89.6%+$90.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$140.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69%+$109.32
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$139.89
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$87.65
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$39.6
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.82
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$87.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$49
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$44.86
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+82.2%+$54.79
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+118.9%+$36.39
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$138.54
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$40.6
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24.96
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$54.84
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88%+$88.1
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$17.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+144.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,279.3%+$371
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.15
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$82.21
Elon Phoenix vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$73.35
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.3%+$35
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$123.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$71.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$35.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$75.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.1%+$320.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$46.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.