Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1144dd9690201ac46b2cf39f4808bf49246e1d19ac2eaab0a626af0a02a65c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 60c | 7,027$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 5,816$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.83 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Golden Bears | 24c | 3,302$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.22 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 2,789$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.83 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears | 32c | 2,690$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 2,572$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed California Golden Bears | 31c | 2,544$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.76 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 2,292$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.16 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 2,185$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.15 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed California Golden Bears | 67c | 1,995$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.43 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 1,739$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.55 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 1,627$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.4 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears | 27c | 1,581$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 1,516$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…d156backed California Golden Bears | 62c | 1,479$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 1,106$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 1,027$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.76 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62c | 998.84$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.14 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 78c | 974.25$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.4 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6c | 873.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked California Golden Bears | 35c | 850.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed California Golden Bears | 44c | 822.73$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5c | 800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed California Golden Bears | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California Golden Bears | 63c | 580.76$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed California Golden Bears | 34c | 580$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 562.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.02 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…ad86backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75c | 560$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed California Golden Bears | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 51c | 523$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 511.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears | 59c | 501.32$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 494.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears | 62c | 490.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed California Golden Bears | 28c | 490.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 436.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.35 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 63c | 417.51$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 52c | 409.74$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked California Golden Bears | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked California Golden Bears | 7c | 400$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…0431backed California Golden Bears | 11c | 392.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…59fcbacked California Golden Bears | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed California Golden Bears | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 297.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 69c | 290.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed California Golden Bears | 72c | 277.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 228.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed California Golden Bears | 78c | 228$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 209.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 64c | 198.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed California Golden Bears | 63c | 158.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 64c | 155.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 58c | 154$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 153.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 152.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed California Golden Bears | 67c | 143$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…28d4backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 129.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears | 77c | 128.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed California Golden Bears | 79c | 128.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…f477backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 19c | 108.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…7dbebacked California Golden Bears | 58c | 107.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 23c | 106.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked California Golden Bears | 54c | 74.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…3995backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 58.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked California Golden Bears | 57c | 52.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 61c | 52.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…28aebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 35.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 33.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked California Golden Bears | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed California Golden Bears | 64c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 26.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked California Golden Bears | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…e9c0backed California Golden Bears | 80c | 13.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.