TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
California Golden Bearsof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, California Golden Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish60c7,027$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.835,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c5,816$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.8325254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed California Golden Bears24c3,302$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.2264647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish34c2,789$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.834544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears32c2,690$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.391,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish33c2,572$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.345,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed California Golden Bears31c2,544$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.7646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked California Golden Bears37c2,292$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.161,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed California Golden Bears39c2,185$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.1536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed California Golden Bears67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.4312358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked California Golden Bears42c1,739$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.551,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish45c1,627$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.41,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears27c1,581$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.252,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish45c1,516$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa369…d156backed California Golden Bears62c1,479$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish22c1,106$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.182,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed California Golden Bears42c1,027$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish62c998.84$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1412354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish78c974.25$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.44973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish6c873.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.933312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked California Golden Bears35c850.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed California Golden Bears44c822.73$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.732050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish5c800$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed California Golden Bears63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish8c700$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish8c600$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked California Golden Bears63c580.76$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed California Golden Bears34c580$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.48737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed California Golden Bears54c562.3$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0210757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5737…ad86backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish75c560$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed California Golden Bears45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5616135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c523$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish34c511.11$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears59c501.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.114,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed California Golden Bears42c494.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9242327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears62c490.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed California Golden Bears28c490.06$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.939440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c436.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.356428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears63c417.51$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish52c409.74$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked California Golden Bears73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10843450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish8c400$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.433810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e06…5a9bbacked California Golden Bears7c400$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+144.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2596…0431backed California Golden Bears11c392.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+170.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…59fcbacked California Golden Bears67c360$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.181973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed California Golden Bears61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.55966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish8c297.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.433993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish69c290.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed California Golden Bears72c277.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.266162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish33c228.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed California Golden Bears78c228$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7614354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish23c209.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.224517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish64c198.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.194,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed California Golden Bears63c158.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish64c155.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish58c154$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3216051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed California Golden Bears65c153.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8119554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish33c152.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7517647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed California Golden Bears67c143$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.311,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish36c139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.156016.7%10 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x156e…28d4backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed California Golden Bears52c129.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears77c128.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd9…8323backed California Golden Bears79c128.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked California Golden Bears23c125$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+114%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa675…f477backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c108.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe341…7dbebacked California Golden Bears58c107.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish23c106.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked California Golden Bears54c74.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5413956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…3995backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.490%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish72c58.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5312840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears63c57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked California Golden Bears57c52.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish61c52.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0249043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed California Golden Bears49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.419238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1301…28aebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish39c38.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish58c37.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked California Golden Bears42c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c35.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked California Golden Bears37c33.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2211743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked California Golden Bears63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed California Golden Bears64c30.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.156558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish36c30.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears53c27.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.772,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish56c26.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed California Golden Bears42c26.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed California Golden Bears65c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb694…023ebacked California Golden Bears68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af8…e9c0backed California Golden Bears80c13.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.