TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x002f…6a4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$224.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$153
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$171.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.51
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$191.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$320
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+185.7%+$131
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+127.3%+$140
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$298.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$16.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+32.9%+$55.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+212.5%+$271.99
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$445.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144.41
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144.83
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200.65
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.45
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.9%+$101.82
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$92.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.36
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.5%+$313.03
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+110.2%+$925.84
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,331.64
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$255.2
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$296.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$167.4
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$429.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$334.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,396.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.93
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.88
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100.19
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.2%+$507.8
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+101.6%+$823.54
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$399
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$373.7
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreevabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.88
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,083.12
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+382.4%+$792.72
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$192
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$394.69
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-82.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$412.61
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$164.12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$809.61
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$692.99
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$522.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$188.8
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$448.4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,868.74
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+114%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+327.9%+$95.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.16
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$670.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$296.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,692.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$108.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.