TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$646,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes28c67,375$18,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,574.615536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c47,802$20,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,951.056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No72c26,180$18,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,849.598453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No71c22,206$15,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,766.0116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c18,980$13,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,911.7485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c17,464$12,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,556.082,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No72c17,420$12,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,542.6625752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes28c15,000$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,849.649845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c13,319$9,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,541.391,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes29c12,969$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,207.971947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes28c12,027$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,621.589246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes32c11,149$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,592.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No34c11,111$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.736445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c9,741$5,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c8,976$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,535.531,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c8,695$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.392,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c8,010$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.371,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c7,237$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.71,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c7,079$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,190.292,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes27c6,901$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,024.274438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No71c5,654$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.9919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes55c5,472$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.582948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes26c5,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes32c4,500$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+87.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No71c4,367$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.7215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes26c3,900$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.988343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No73c3,900$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.899358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c3,601$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c3,471$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.411,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes29c3,450$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.53435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.023250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No2c3,235$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.775232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1307929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes55c2,871$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.745280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes59c2,866$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.595862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Yes78c2,831$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.921866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6955…0d5ebacked Yes61c2,704$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Yes61c2,557$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Yes29c2,461$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No72c2,454$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.7979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No42c2,393$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes58c2,330$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.831225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No73c2,201$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.891181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Yes59c2,135$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.384161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No3c2,104$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1267042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c2,094$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.011,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,010$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes46c2,000$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0849134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,973$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.691,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa550…836fbacked No1c1,922$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes27c1,823$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.4511942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes29c1,800$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2781844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes56c1,779$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.143452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No59c1,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes26c1,600$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1847047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes27c1,437$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.048834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,370$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.79042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c1,200$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.993256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes27c1,066$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.214032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes25c1,004$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.234643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7309555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Yes26c999.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.996759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes26c999.96$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.975942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No9c969.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.422025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes27c925.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.933650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes27c925.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.937229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked Yes28c900$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No73c899.97$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.9830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked No47c895.37$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes57c877.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No4c837$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5410827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes29c827.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5910736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No72c800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes27c800$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58425648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No72c727.16$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.565850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebee…3278backed No74c727.03$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.298047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.296250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Yes59c706.92$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4972944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No2c669.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4388851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2284139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49e5…ef0ebacked Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2d…1b72backed Yes27c555.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.