Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27aea21ff1e93d9e635d11a259463cb2c3bb52266a28d4c493bd9741d6c6f28f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4994…2d6dbacked Yes | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 22,851$16,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 28c | 21,018$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.97 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 7,422$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes | 22c | 7,027$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 74c | 5,525$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.5 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 74c | 4,999$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 3,283$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.58 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 3,161$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.88 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Yes | 27c | 2,593$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…f72fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,404$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Yes | 26c | 2,199$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 73c | 2,016$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 2,016$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,935$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.27 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,858$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.08 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,813$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 1,423$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.34 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,205$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 27c | 961.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 903.19$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.85 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 26c | 720.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 656.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 647.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 621$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 4c | 587.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 21c | 575.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 26c | 534.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 19c | 499.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 73c | 499.93$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 23c | 436.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 27c | 379.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 21c | 289.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 273$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 79c | 250.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 74c | 223.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 28c | 214.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 27c | 213.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 28c | 210.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 77c | 206.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 73c | 206.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 5c | 201.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…7f79backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 154.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 26c | 151$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 141.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 27c | 131.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…3da8backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…9dcabacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…94bcbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 27c | 93.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 25c | 89.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 24c | 84.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 74c | 83.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 74c | 81.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 80.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…e1fdbacked Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.