Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bfdc5ed2b0a4f05440c44502d9023028294e06557817f4cab3efd2989ab4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,161,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,365,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,161,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 46c | 2,260,741$1,042,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042,175.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 54c | 635,828$343,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292,480.98 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 350,000$189,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,000 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 53c | 300,000$159,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,999.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes | 45c | 235,617$106,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,128.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 150,148$84,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,473.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 119,841$65,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,991.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 117,130$66,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,885.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 54c | 107,000$57,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,220 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.99 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 65,290$35,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,486.88 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 54c | 55,026$29,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,311.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 53,255$28,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,029.65 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 54c | 50,926$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,425.93 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 54c | 40,743$22,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,741.78 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 54c | 40,000$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,749.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 54c | 30,198$16,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,891.08 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 54c | 17,160$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed No | 54c | 16,991$9,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 54c | 16,214$8,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,412.57 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 16,068$8,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,315.74 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 55c | 15,750$8,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 54c | 14,923$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,864.73 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 54c | 14,863$8,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,836.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 54c | 14,815$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.81 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 54c | 13,350$7,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 55c | 11,842$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.9 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 55c | 11,221$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.67 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 10,728$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 56c | 10,727$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 54c | 10,212$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.88 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked No | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 54c | 9,241$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 54c | 8,771$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.3 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 55c | 8,507$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.25 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1d…0807backed No | 54c | 7,467$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 16c | 6,365$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 6,240$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 45c | 5,700$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4ac8backed No | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 54c | 5,496$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 54c | 5,325$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 52c | 5,129$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 54c | 4,629$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.34 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 54c | 4,599$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.54 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 54c | 4,519$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.21 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 54c | 4,334$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.53 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 4,176$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.41 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 3,853$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.29 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 47c | 3,690$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.3 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 48c | 3,665$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.33 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 54c | 3,054$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.84 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.77 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…a476backed Yes | 47c | 2,709$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 51c | 2,473$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…f72fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,425$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 54c | 2,387$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.23 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 54c | 2,190$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 54c | 2,190$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 67c | 2,155$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.25 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 1,983$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.29 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 44c | 1,861$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.7 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 17c | 1,835$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 54c | 1,774$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.04 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 55c | 1,635$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.55 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 53c | 1,523$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.9 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 1,466$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.78 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked No | 55c | 1,462$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.