TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05ab…b10a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$34.52
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.32
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+506.1%+$167
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Mozambique vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Benin vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Botswana vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Botswana win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+270.4%+$36.5
Will Zambia vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$37.5
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+300%+$42.75
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
VU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked VU of Lynchburg Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-82.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andorra record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Wendl/Arlt (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Eitberger/Matschina (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Merle Fraibel (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Seungeun Yu (KOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Suzanne Schulting (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
Will Mathilde Gremaud (SUI) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+93.8%+$12.95
Will Kristers Aparjods (LAT) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Germany win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick5cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+213%+$50.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.