Fifa International · resolved market
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-01-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64cc7ba6ecf854cd7c33fc4ed8d1bcd9c5d65cb2bdb1f0d9d2356e17c0e8201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 21,000$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.12 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 17c | 18,300$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 9,390$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 21c | 8,034$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 9c | 4,040$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 3,737$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.36 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 1c | 3,525$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 2,686$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 2,146$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3c…4a2ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,433$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,303$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,276$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 1,197$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 18c | 999.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 18c | 875$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 686$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 13c | 598.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…b08dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 457.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 18c | 284.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 186$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 16c | 169$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…a5cfbacked Yes | 21c | 166.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 133.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 10c | 124.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 15c | 116.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…5f42backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…a4d0backed Yes | 17c | 76.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…72f9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-01-06?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?No won
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.