TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x055a…b4f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5660.7%34 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$90.95
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.86
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.4
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.93
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38.98
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$42.66
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.28
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$43.79
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$51.84
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.3%+$103.13
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$57.9
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$138.01
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.56
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$39.6
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$55.68
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40%+$143.81
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.1
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$112.85
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$41.2
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$156.5
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$39
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$177.89
Will CS Cienciano vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$182.41
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
Will Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$189
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$174.64
Will CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.7
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$182.84
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$178.23
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$187.6
Will CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$41.82
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$39.25
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.68
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$134.37
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.1%+$39.48
Will Barcelona SC vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$38.13
Will Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.9%+$37.76
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$71.5
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100.07
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$40.92
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.05
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81.81
Will CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$27.64
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.1%+$36.37
Will CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.2%+$37.8
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.09
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.2
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.19
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.46
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.64
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$41.05
Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Arnaldibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.54
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.83
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.57
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.9
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$35.56
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$37.15
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.56
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$37.97
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$61
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.15
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$42.86
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.17
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$41.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.