Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdfe67560c91ef1e7f3192ea5ba83f28b12bf96df72644ec466757ee5f81194a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc93e…cd26backed Yes | 4c | 5,423$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 11c | 4,520$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,872$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 3,394$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 3,240$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.98 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 2,464$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 2,053$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 13c | 1,569$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 10c | 1,326$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 12c | 942.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 851.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 729.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 11c | 717.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 568$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 11c | 546.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 11c | 530.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 24c | 457.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 14c | 444.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 8c | 398.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 15c | 355.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 19c | 321.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 13c | 262.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 12c | 224.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 9c | 223.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 148.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…9683backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Yes | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…4c33backed Yes | 26c | 88.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 72c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 72c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…70edbacked No | 69c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-31?this page
- Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Mozambique vs. Cameroon end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.