TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda9e…42e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.73
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$619.21
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.4%+$193.04
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.6
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+60.2%+$37.83
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$67.6
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$98.19
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$76.6
Will Angola vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+50.8%+$43.11
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.4
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+37%+$81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$121.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.8%+$95.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$114.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$179.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+84.8%+$32.19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$116.16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.8%+$10.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.