TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c121,373$72,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,112.930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c57,272$35,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,583.8317338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c46,682$18,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,630.3916835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes61c26,247$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,246.951478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c23,618$7,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,402.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c22,901$6,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,137.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c22,818$9,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,391.0176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No37c22,051$8,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,171.3722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No38c20,567$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,841.2216331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes64c20,080$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,279.512365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No38c18,000$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.996132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No39c16,600$6,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,537.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No42c13,600$5,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,711.9915034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c12,474$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.0435942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked No40c12,143$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No38c11,166$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.836845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c10,644$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.297630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No43c8,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.969636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c7,950$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.499322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No40c7,154$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.0421140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes59c6,950$4,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8597433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes60c6,630$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.811435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No40c5,712$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.798631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1501566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90090%0 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No36c5,000$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.984346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Yes59c4,157$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No38c4,010$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.783928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes57c3,360$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.045450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No35c3,278$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.264040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No40c3,265$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.173327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes57c3,250$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.51593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick63cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c3,184$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.0921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No40c3,035$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.5628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No34c2,940$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.629232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No1c2,560$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No38c2,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94516647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed No38c2,490$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed No40c2,400$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes66c2,121$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.213363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87c3…2945backed Yes61c2,053$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.8725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes61c1,967$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.212462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No5c1,839$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No32c1,794$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9616258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No39c1,778$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.192441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No42c1,735$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.785228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No41c1,735$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.741,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes59c1,636$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes63c1,588$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.579140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa095…aca5backed Yes62c1,459$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No41c1,354$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes62c1,310$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.972152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes64c1,247$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes80c1,243$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.615763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43229250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No40c1,144$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.844845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked No40c1,122$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No40c1,045$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41814344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c986.28$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6634630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c983$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.696643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes62c862.47$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9510748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes58c799.26$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.695042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No42c799.03$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8313654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No20c752$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.48321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011845.8%54 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No39c700.24$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1621016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes57c690$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.73164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No44c661.95$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1617851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No43c640.06$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2313131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes61c639.33$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…557bbacked Yes57c638$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No40c628.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.647425.7%19 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf841…8571backed Yes61c610.9$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes65c573.38$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.683745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf823…74c4backed No41c565.85$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x311e…9eb9backed No41c558.93$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes63c555.65$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6511137.8%42 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…8807backed No41c555.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.591020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b098backed No41c552.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes62c550.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.482277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbc…0787backed No42c547.14$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes58c528.75$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.555334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes58c520.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes60c499.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.927350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No38c469.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3714040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No32c459.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.417032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.