Fifa International · resolved market
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x535c28d22c0f6c8b889c6999cf6a8fbdee7bc58cb356c7a1d52a73c80ddd7269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,848$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.29 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Yes | 28c | 1,498$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 17c | 1,440$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 77c | 1,346$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,128$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…8887backed Yes | 26c | 925.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Yes | 24c | 565.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 537.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 521.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 471.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Yes | 12c | 431.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…204dbacked Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 5c | 276.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 29c | 260.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…cb88backed No | 74c | 255$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…78d7backed Yes | 26c | 255$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 25c | 226.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 23c | 218$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 9c | 212.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 23c | 128.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 26c | 126$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 121.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6823backed Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Yes | 24c | 95.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 74c | 85.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 25c | 79.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 51.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 72c | 51.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…8fccbacked No | 76c | 49.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 23c | 45.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 27c | 37.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria end in a draw?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?Yes won
- Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.