TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x887a…c417

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$685.37
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$21.84
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.55
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$25.19
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.33
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+120.9%+$26.85
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$19.7
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.71
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+92.3%+$22.15
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+122.2%+$25.67
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$24.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$548.8
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,050.45
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.33
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$21.95
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$21.54
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$21.62
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+140%+$26.36
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.33
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+88.7%+$21.11
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$21.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.42
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$21.61
Rays vs. Metsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$27.22
Orioles vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$21.73
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.27
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$21.56
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,089
Baylor vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$675.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+177.8%+$26.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$417.02
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$433.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+185.7%+$1,012.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,024.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barletta: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$503.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$310.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$419.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Christian Huskies vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$576
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$515.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,002
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,046.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.