College Football · resolved market
Baylor vs. Cincinnati
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13358f5918dce2db9d9a22d879a3491deff00c332a3134b3c5162e33e91c7e7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnatiof Baylor, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Cincinnati | 60c | 67,324$40,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,929.41 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Baylor | 40c | 50,334$19,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,984.47 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…712ebacked Baylor | 31c | 31,301$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati | 61c | 24,183$14,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,387.45 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Baylor | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati | 69c | 14,431$9,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.29 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cincinnati | 74c | 10,753$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.48 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baylor | 21c | 9,600$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Baylor | 40c | 8,637$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.98 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati | 80c | 8,083$6,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.83 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Baylor | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Baylor | 39c | 7,343$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.87 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cincinnati | 74c | 5,106$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.32 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cincinnati | 61c | 4,355$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.44 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati | 60c | 4,177$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.75 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Baylor | 39c | 3,720$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.87 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Baylor | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cincinnati | 70c | 3,474$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.78 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Baylor | 39c | 2,278$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Baylor | 39c | 2,153$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.5 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cincinnati | 61c | 1,841$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.99 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Cincinnati | 60c | 1,688$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Baylor | 40c | 1,686$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Baylor | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Baylor | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Baylor | 38c | 916$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.08 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Baylor | 39c | 774$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cincinnati | 60c | 765$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cincinnati | 59c | 731.71$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…af87backed Baylor | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…df47backed Cincinnati | 61c | 731$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cincinnati | 62c | 729$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Baylor | 10c | 650$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Baylor | 2c | 629$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Cincinnati | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cincinnati | 61c | 536$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baylor | 9c | 530$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Baylor | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…2455backed Cincinnati | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Baylor | 7c | 485$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cincinnati | 60c | 440$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…3a31backed Cincinnati | 61c | 411.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Cincinnati | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cincinnati | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Cincinnati | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Cincinnati | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cincinnati | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Cincinnati | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Cincinnati | 59c | 259.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Baylor | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Cincinnati | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Baylor | 39c | 200.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Baylor | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati | 60c | 191.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati | 59c | 185.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati | 76c | 182.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Cincinnati | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Cincinnati | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Cincinnati | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Baylor | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baylor | 41c | 137$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…cabfbacked Baylor | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor | 9c | 124$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Cincinnati | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Cincinnati | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Cincinnati | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Cincinnati | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Cincinnati | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor | 39c | 54.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cincinnati | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Cincinnati | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Baylor | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Baylor | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Baylor | 40c | 47.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cincinnati | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Cincinnati | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Cincinnati | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66de…71d4backed Cincinnati | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…8671backed Cincinnati | 63c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati | 70c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor vs. Cincinnatithis page
- O/U 67.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati (-3.5)Cincinnati won
- Spread: Cincinnati (-4.5)Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.