TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb2f…eca9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
481
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST17348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,967Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+113%+$5,613
Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.53
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8,599.84
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$4,242.02
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15,199.06
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,100
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.57
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$858.27
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,036.31
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$9,810.15
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13,800
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$368.06
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36,540.74
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$9,800
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,840.87
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10,200
Cardinals vs. Rams: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11,344.22
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+106.9%+$15,499.99
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,185
Will the Green Bay Packers win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$261.44
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,638Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+105.3%+$14,358.06
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,170.76
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$596.64
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$9,900
Spread: Texans (-14.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$4,800
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT11652.6%61 W · 55 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,825.42
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,090.54
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,389.17
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,925.97
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,199.96
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,907.67
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$321.32
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$242.2
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20,400
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$51.49
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,399.99
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$240.23
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,939.94
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.42
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,324.57
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+111%+$11,361.88
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,087Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,511.24
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,500
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-1.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,478.13
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,099.99
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.97
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)backed Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$308.43
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$15,299.9
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST9540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$6,749.99
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.8%+$23,599.99
Spread: Fresno State (-5.5)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15,231.36
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$510.19
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$9,399.96
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$5,000
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,320
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)backed Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$4,600
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+143.9%+$5,900
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-13.5)backed California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$5,100
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+77.7%+$25.47
Spread: Oregon (-6.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,462.39
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,701.08
Spread: BYU (-18.5)backed UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: BYU (-17.5)backed UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$8,486.2
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$113.7
Houston vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,414.9
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-21.5)backed West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,099.99
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$84.32
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$410.74
Spread: Oregon (-9.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$5,564.42
Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)backed Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$9,919.81
Spread: Georgia (-43.5)backed Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,593Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+97.9%+$9,394.71
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,432.54
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT6546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,299.95
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,800
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,089.99
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,400
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,130
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,799.99
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16,399.87
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23,240.9
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,091.29
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,699.96
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$149.03
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$12,891.8
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,599.94
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$10,799.98
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,620.63
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,802.41
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,200
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,368.19
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$302.88
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$316.46
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10,399.96
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,716.46
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,729.94
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.37
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.09
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$231.94
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,953.67
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$4,500
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$508.48
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11,199.98
Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$5,599.98
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,123.94
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Norrie (+2.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7,171.12
Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$8,000
Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$298
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,770Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$5,229.86
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,520
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+105.8%+$5,532.27
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$2,926.61
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,768
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,298
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.4
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$198
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$296.8
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$996.86
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$720
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,715Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+70.1%+$10,310.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,885Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+68.3%+$3,334.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$649.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.