College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11530a8ce54e9ad27dfb6c389a44996e943425d920258498b8f611e3d62b2635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Oklahoma | 47c | 11,870$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Missouri | 55c | 9,152$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.74 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oklahoma | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Missouri | 52c | 6,601$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.54 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri | 53c | 4,781$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.97 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Missouri | 54c | 3,162$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.21 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma | 49c | 2,975$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…540cbacked Missouri | 51c | 2,975$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Oklahoma | 48c | 2,828$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.12 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Missouri | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Missouri | 53c | 1,936$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.93 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Missouri | 53c | 1,777$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…a599backed Oklahoma | 48c | 1,502$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…96f0backed Oklahoma | 48c | 1,473$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Oklahoma | 46c | 1,253$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.37 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oklahoma | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Missouri | 40c | 374.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Oklahoma | 60c | 341.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Missouri | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Missouri | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oklahoma | 60c | 191.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Missouri | 54c | 162.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Oklahoma | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Missouri | 52c | 119.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Oklahoma | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Oklahoma | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Missouri | 51c | 84.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Oklahoma | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Missouri | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Oklahoma | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Oklahoma | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Missouri | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Oklahoma | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Missouri | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Missouri | 53c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Missouri | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oklahoma | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)this page
- Missouri vs. OklahomaOklahoma won
- Missouri vs. Oklahoma: 1H MoneylineOklahoma won
- Missouri vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5Under won
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-5.5)Oklahoma won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-7.5)Oklahoma won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-9.5)Oklahoma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.