TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$776,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,618 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c382,458$195,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,405.4487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c214,933$105,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,427.651,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c203,958$99,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,939.2566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c101,953$51,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,957.1132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c53,885$26,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,748.434,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c33,195$16,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,264.992,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c31,501$16,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,446.7660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c30,090$15,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,597.081,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under49c30,000$14,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,599.946546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c29,992$15,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,696.081,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c11,286$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,529.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c5,509$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.181,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over51c4,570$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,433$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under49c3,333$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c2,943$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.6426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.7818842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,201$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.224,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under50c1,877$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.8223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,827$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c1,658$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.58747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3925155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c942$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c921.94$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.591,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c737$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over51c699.97$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.999842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under49c653.06$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2422447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under45c585.62$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9828537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c543.7$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over49c482.4$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.656241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c427$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c417.89$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c402.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over51c396.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.694060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c349.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c332.93$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c330.38$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under49c322.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8216338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c296.84$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4130453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over52c290$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.271044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4619054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c282.68$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c259$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.961,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6c…99d1backed Under11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c203.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9847748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over51c196.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2914466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under49c172.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5447852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under31c149.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over51c142$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c131.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under50c128.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.227862.8%49 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over50c125.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8526756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over51c119.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c119.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over52c118.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3722953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over51c104.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under49c101.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9525245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b52…34cdbacked Under50c100.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.926845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under50c98.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3223446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6d…9e20backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.023751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under50c97.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.758658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over51c94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over51c87.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0912650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c83.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.952552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624e…e95cbacked Under50c83.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c82.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…3468backed Under50c79.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+119.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over51c76.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over51c70.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0925153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over52c67.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df6…556fbacked Under50c62.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.031338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over51c58.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9427854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6925855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over51c51.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0830654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.