TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,216 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz48c19,400$9,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,311.3132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz47c19,107$8,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,980.0630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Knicks53c16,607$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,806.984535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz47c9,572$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.521,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks52c8,432$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Jazz48c5,210$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.4515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.021,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Jazz48c5,000$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.929733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Knicks52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.71,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…67d0backed Knicks53c3,017$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b2…b445backed Jazz47c2,945$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de1…d71dbacked Jazz47c2,862$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98ef…7bb4backed Knicks53c2,837$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…5135backed Knicks53c2,776$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9833…0970backed Jazz47c2,679$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234d…66d6backed Jazz47c2,668$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc084…1d58backed Jazz47c2,666$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Jazz47c2,643$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f3…f9f8backed Jazz48c2,536$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbb…a657backed Knicks53c2,524$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4576…e33abacked Jazz47c2,520$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422b…8105backed Jazz48c2,436$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3006…7ec1backed Knicks52c2,412$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz47c2,406$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca3…0371backed Jazz48c2,354$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb579…6f10backed Jazz49c2,352$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f02…4c7fbacked Jazz47c2,352$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b3…f449backed Jazz48c2,344$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb3…0569backed Jazz47c2,344$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d1…ac09backed Knicks52c2,302$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae8…2207backed Knicks53c2,263$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe580…b22cbacked Knicks52c2,245$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ec…1b37backed Knicks52c2,236$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3f…19fbbacked Jazz49c2,235$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jazz48c2,222$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.417554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ded…ce8dbacked Jazz47c2,213$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb2…91c3backed Jazz48c2,211$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa0…7667backed Knicks53c2,202$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8894…d2f8backed Jazz47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…49a2backed Knicks52c2,188$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb710…0cf6backed Knicks51c2,174$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02c…737bbacked Jazz47c2,160$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ad…df1abacked Knicks53c2,155$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…e39abacked Jazz48c2,155$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf0…d04cbacked Jazz47c2,136$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83aa…e941backed Knicks51c2,125$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…2a19backed Knicks53c2,103$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…b6a1backed Knicks53c2,102$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e6…95a9backed Knicks52c2,102$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefcb…33efbacked Jazz48c2,101$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…fe43backed Jazz47c2,052$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f3…7271backed Knicks53c2,041$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab7…82fbbacked Knicks52c2,019$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae9…e37ebacked Jazz47c2,016$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc7…e037backed Jazz47c2,011$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc8…5c89backed Knicks52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f2…1a04backed Knicks53c2,005$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa391…7528backed Jazz48c2,000$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3a…d999backed Jazz47c1,966$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0726…b887backed Jazz49c1,933$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa6…0a17backed Knicks52c1,932$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc778…5207backed Knicks54c1,908$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb1…74b4backed Knicks53c1,902$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff95…7cb5backed Jazz49c1,874$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa205…33e3backed Jazz49c1,856$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6266…d460backed Knicks51c1,833$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8c…d76dbacked Knicks53c1,810$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…ae50backed Jazz47c1,755$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Knicks53c1,744$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.3514455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…54c0backed Jazz48c1,744$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bad…e7b0backed Knicks53c1,732$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c6d…5434backed Jazz47c1,725$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Knicks53c1,711$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.3219359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3efe…cbfdbacked Jazz48c1,688$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc73…ab49backed Jazz48c1,683$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde4…ad06backed Knicks53c1,640$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eea…237abacked Jazz47c1,636$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e7…e790backed Knicks53c1,633$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd50a…8ab2backed Jazz47c1,616$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65de…63d6backed Knicks51c1,602$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd45f…95fbbacked Knicks52c1,602$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Knicks53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.241675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf75b…a2c2backed Knicks51c1,597$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x156d…9bcebacked Knicks53c1,590$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x491e…05d3backed Knicks53c1,574$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Knicks53c1,573$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…a0fcbacked Knicks51c1,563$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ee…4bbbbacked Jazz48c1,533$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fee…8cfebacked Knicks53c1,522$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks53c1,510$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.5724151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9278…4884backed Knicks52c1,502$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…1a4cbacked Knicks53c1,501$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac6…735ebacked Knicks53c1,366$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf79…1030backed Knicks53c1,352$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz47c1,348$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…baf9backed Knicks53c1,278$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7777…717fbacked Knicks53c1,256$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.