NBA · resolved market
Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c888c998149c91c0e66feaef58dba48cd1e9ab1a1c985ab02eedb08adf24cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 71c | 2,300$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.99 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,523$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,305$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…3792backed Yes | 31c | 654.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 619.57$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…ede3backed Yes | 25c | 405.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…4f23backed Yes | 24c | 386.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Yes | 30c | 335.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 68c | 329.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 76c | 295$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…f3b8backed Yes | 25c | 196.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…683cbacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…bfbabacked Yes | 31c | 176.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 112.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Yes | 31c | 88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…72eebacked Yes | 32c | 81.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…f8a3backed Yes | 28c | 45.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 74c | 40.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…336dbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.7wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 70c | 27.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 75c | 22.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…6e05backed No | 64c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- John Konchar: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- John Konchar: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Knicks vs. JazzKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.