NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0afcb83e17d675008cc2b96a9b46ba1936b9e14211efe370322b942ef531f1

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $174,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,142 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7baa…03b7backed Jazz	0c	69,114$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.41	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks	48c	35,669$17,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,539.07	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jazz	52c	28,366$14,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,862.95	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz	51c	6,535$3,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,332.54	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	32c	6,264$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,238.54	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	52c	5,000$2,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,598.18	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e3…4edbbacked Knicks	49c	3,225$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	48c	3,032$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.47	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks	49c	2,980$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.8	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec7…fa88backed Knicks	49c	2,450$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fee…9f33backed Knicks	49c	2,400$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c99…87c6backed Jazz	51c	2,388$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	47c	2,377$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.94	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…dba1backed Knicks	49c	2,366$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fca…f3c3backed Jazz	51c	2,300$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…3063backed Knicks	49c	2,270$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c97…d2c0backed Knicks	49c	2,270$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbc…18d5backed Jazz	51c	2,201$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1918…9abdbacked Knicks	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0671…4cfdbacked Knicks	49c	1,956$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd173…92cdbacked Jazz	51c	1,956$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Jazz	52c	1,923$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.49	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed4…594abacked Jazz	51c	1,901$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0478…57f5backed Jazz	51c	1,893$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…8c0bbacked Knicks	49c	1,800$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6df…cea8backed Knicks	49c	1,694$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…2976backed Knicks	49c	1,666$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe97a…d34cbacked Knicks	49c	1,636$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…132abacked Knicks	49c	1,618$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ac…6fbebacked Jazz	51c	1,596$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz	52c	1,471$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.91	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf3…7062backed Jazz	51c	1,466$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb97b…b7ebbacked Jazz	51c	1,401$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…3b6ebacked Knicks	49c	1,400$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ac…513dbacked Jazz	51c	1,350$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x664f…83dbbacked Jazz	51c	1,344$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jazz	12c	1,292$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e1…b357backed Jazz	51c	1,077$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7843…ab51backed Jazz	51c	1,069$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks	49c	1,065$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…6a06backed Jazz	51c	1,064$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54df…5a9bbacked Jazz	51c	1,058$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f25…d99abacked Jazz	51c	1,023$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7da…da68backed Jazz	51c	1,015$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06cb…f986backed Jazz	51c	1,006$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0caa…9d2bbacked Jazz	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Knicks	49c	928.61$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.96	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz	52c	916$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.32	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz	12c	896$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.52	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks	48c	719.69$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.61	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca1…233ebacked Jazz	51c	643$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks	49c	613.5$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.5	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Knicks	48c	498.34$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.64	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Knicks	48c	473.83$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.39	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Knicks	48c	473.28$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.11	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks	48c	412.24$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.81	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Jazz	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.76	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Knicks	48c	335$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.2	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	52c	303.4$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.77	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks	48c	297.65$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.78	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Jazz	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	12c	234$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks	41c	227.82$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.73	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Knicks	48c	208$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.16	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Knicks	51c	204.41$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.03	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks	49c	203$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.73	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Knicks	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Jazz	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Knicks	48c	199.1$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.78	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Jazz	52c	190$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.61	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Jazz	53c	171$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.63	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Knicks	47c	164.73$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.31	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Knicks	15c	164.47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.8	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Knicks	48c	149$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.56	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks	48c	121.73$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.3	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks	43c	115.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.15	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Jazz	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks	48c	110.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.71	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Knicks	48c	104.3$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.3	141	70.9%100 W · 41 L	+11.4wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Knicks	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d18…fd1bbacked Jazz	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Knicks	49c	99.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.99	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Jazz	13c	99.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz	51c	98.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	55c	95.09$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Knicks	49c	92.67$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.35	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	52c	89$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Knicks	49c	88.88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.33	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Knicks	49c	87.27$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.53	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Knicks	48c	83$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.16	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Jazz	52c	82.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.89	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Knicks	48c	81.42$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Knicks	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Knicks	45c	78.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.29	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Jazz	52c	74.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Knicks	48c	74.42$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event