TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,255 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Over53c62,115$32,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,322.433847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under48c12,245$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.5317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c11,498$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c8,866$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,204.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over55c8,654$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.8948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0260…5f72backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under47c5,458$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c4,976$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under47c4,769$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.319445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcba…ec07backed Over51c4,200$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.851,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…05f0backed Under49c3,888$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe30…9b00backed Under49c3,822$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c3,742$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.732,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under47c3,687$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.7625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c83backed Over51c3,510$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c3,406$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c3,003$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c2,593$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9920651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under34c1,757$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.781,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under47c1,746$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8208444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over54c1,694$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.9517041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under44c1,356$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,322$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under29c1,283$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.183,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,123$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624e…e95cbacked Over54c1,036$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,011$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c989.99$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c949.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1812855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over54c865.51$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0124147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c773.84$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under46c739.61$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0823348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over78c690.74$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0114456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c657.42$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c580$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.221,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Over54c564.74$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c562.57$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27032450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c535.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9411159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under35c518.01$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Over54c499$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6611642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Over54c487.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.114839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under47c478.72$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Over54c468.39$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.55038%19 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under38c467.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over54c463.02$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0220049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under47c459.43$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Over54c437.26$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.139841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Over54c433.89$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.569441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c424.27$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over54c395.46$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.87646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c382.01$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c57…47aabacked Over53c375.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked Over54c371.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.972665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over56c357.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3219045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Over54c343.82$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b2…a5f1backed Over54c341.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c337$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.95259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c326.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c325.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Over54c301.53$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.43756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under14c291.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0328537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Over53c286.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.442263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under21c280$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over54c252.63$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8814054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75b…b40dbacked Over54c239.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under24c237.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.789242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under21c234.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.211,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over74c233$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c229.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c226.89$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.371,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Over54c221.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed Over54c220.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.791346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Over69c218.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed Over54c213.66$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.842254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over74c208.2$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94b6…5f6ebacked Over54c186.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed Over54c186.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.768943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over54c181.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.724341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893a…37debacked Under47c175.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Over80c173.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over56c171.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.294468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c154.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5115752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over52c149.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.836858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Under48c146.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.293250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c145.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.431,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Under46c143$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6411229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over54c140.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8d…674fbacked Under47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.661020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Over54c139.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.