NBA · resolved market
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694947a50914ee8c4f50f5223c7f47739f3e8c011f0962222326f70e7f8fdeab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,420 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 70c | 329.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 71c | 227.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…bfbabacked Yes | 29c | 186.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…72eebacked Yes | 30c | 135.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…3792backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…5214backed Yes | 30c | 66.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 72c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 77c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- John Konchar: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- John Konchar: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Knicks vs. JazzKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.