TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,748 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c180,465$84,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,853.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over53c145,554$77,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,449.166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Over48c81,330$39,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,291.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c57,996$30,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,258.2887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c37,910$20,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,817.762,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c30,383$14,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,328.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,75060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5154…2189backed Under52c16,921$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,798.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under47c16,252$7,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.2731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over52c12,782$6,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,191.1448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb948…15b9backed Under52c12,230$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,359.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc15…74e1backed Under52c11,454$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,956.08650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c10,852$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.4437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…894dbacked Under52c10,502$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,461.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Over48c10,416$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.282055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23c…d954backed Over48c10,250$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3304100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2aa…2a91backed Under52c9,950$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab8…4812backed Over48c9,854$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,124.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3e…62c3backed Under52c9,812$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c9,341$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f5…8002backed Under52c9,133$4,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa232…78bdbacked Under52c9,104$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa102…662ebacked Under52c8,877$4,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf414…15c5backed Under52c8,765$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5695…9808backed Over48c8,700$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41af…99b0backed Under52c8,525$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c8,409$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.0417144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c7,826$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9af6…dcfdbacked Over48c6,967$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48c4…b12bbacked Under52c6,554$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…ad01backed Under52c6,546$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x527c…a134backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c6,181$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.061,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ea…81d9backed Under52c5,909$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8392…470abacked Over48c5,892$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a5…85efbacked Under52c5,680$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…9af5backed Over48c5,461$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f20…0aa3backed Over48c5,433$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…0db5backed Over48c5,267$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…1898backed Over48c4,859$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed30…d580backed Over48c4,821$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e64…13e1backed Over48c4,746$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6738…e731backed Under52c4,682$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…5f7ebacked Over48c4,679$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed34…e9f1backed Under52c4,643$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…96bebacked Under52c4,417$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.84850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…c1febacked Under52c4,187$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa73…84a8backed Under52c4,004$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c3,964$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x917b…143fbacked Under52c3,902$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be0…77e4backed Under52c3,857$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…a270backed Over48c3,652$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b8…679dbacked Over48c3,584$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c3,559$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6de…f9a3backed Under52c3,538$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eed…e816backed Under52c3,507$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c3,493$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.41,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d3…3e0bbacked Over48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…1727backed Under52c3,036$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,000$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c2,920$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x080a…055fbacked Under52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c2,507$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e7…8740backed Over48c2,506$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e15…00f3backed Over48c2,504$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under49c2,485$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.0623348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7f…b21dbacked Under52c2,329$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e3…8ac3backed Under52c2,231$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under47c2,211$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0395147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,107$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…22bdbacked Under52c1,948$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca3…99a0backed Under52c1,881$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fe…9807backed Over48c1,854$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70fe…387fbacked Under52c1,738$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.76650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,728$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.442,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.0714448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5285…2c18backed Over48c1,484$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920c…4af5backed Over48c1,483$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb5…f987backed Over48c1,353$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5276…3b82backed Under51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…efa0backed Over48c1,223$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,217$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a11…026ebacked Under52c1,214$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Over54c1,158$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.443661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3524…e7a7backed Under52c1,141$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.262245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e41…bb35backed Under52c1,071$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.92650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over53c996.9$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5416338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under51c884.69$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45112048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under46c844.53$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.488747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c800.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c792.16$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b8…28f4backed Over48c783$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5292…5650backed Under51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c682.14$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…12f4backed Under52c667$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cd…adafbacked Under47c659.57$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c614$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.