NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d20f816d6c8bb6d3228fef9f74af5a875b4ea33e38070a14ce71adf8f92e108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz | 44c | 17,820$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.76 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 51c | 10,286$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 56c | 9,751$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Jazz | 45c | 7,452$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.08 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 56c | 6,156$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz | 60c | 5,850$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.31 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz | 49c | 5,397$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.4 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Knicks | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz | 45c | 3,942$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.8 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 49c | 3,753$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.97 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…f360backed Jazz | 46c | 2,436$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Jazz | 44c | 2,431$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.54 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…63d5backed Jazz | 46c | 2,368$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5a…7af9backed Jazz | 46c | 2,255$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…a23ebacked Jazz | 46c | 2,202$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…a275backed Knicks | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…96e0backed Knicks | 54c | 2,122$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4aa…b377backed Jazz | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3e…f067backed Knicks | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…9c9fbacked Jazz | 46c | 2,036$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…e324backed Knicks | 54c | 1,966$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…4777backed Knicks | 54c | 1,955$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…3b0fbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,905$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Knicks | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.92 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…514fbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,744$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f8…8163backed Jazz | 46c | 1,702$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 23c | 1,688$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Jazz | 65c | 1,677$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.12 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz | 42c | 1,660$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.21 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…049dbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,655$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…573abacked Knicks | 54c | 1,602$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,596$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.79 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9872…af7ebacked Jazz | 46c | 1,536$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…33c2backed Knicks | 54c | 1,525$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…92ddbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,455$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…418fbacked Knicks | 54c | 1,399$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…2469backed Knicks | 54c | 1,354$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81cd…bed9backed Jazz | 46c | 1,352$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Knicks | 57c | 1,222$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Knicks | 55c | 1,195$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.7 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Knicks | 54c | 1,078$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 55c | 1,040$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f8e4backed Knicks | 54c | 903$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks | 35c | 885$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 36c | 807.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Knicks | 38c | 800$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 56c | 686$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 48c | 633.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Jazz | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 55c | 580.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks | 52c | 577.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Knicks | 55c | 538.1$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz | 53c | 535.3$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks | 56c | 506$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 56c | 506$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Knicks | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Jazz | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Jazz | 44c | 493.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Knicks | 17c | 472.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Knicks | 56c | 431.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Knicks | 56c | 429.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Knicks | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 51c | 390$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks | 52c | 384.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…7de0backed Knicks | 54c | 383$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Knicks | 56c | 357.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 37c | 335.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Knicks | 55c | 304.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed Jazz | 65c | 293.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Jazz | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Knicks | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Knicks | 68c | 282.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Jazz | 46c | 262.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 47c | 252.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Knicks | 35c | 232.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Jazz | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Knicks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Knicks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Knicks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Knicks | 56c | 166.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 73c | 155.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Knicks | 53c | 152.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Knicks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 55c | 137$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Knicks | 77c | 136.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Jazz | 44c | 125.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Knicks | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Knicks | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Jazz | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jazz | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Knicks | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Knicks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Jazz | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Knicks | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- John Konchar: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- John Konchar: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Knicks vs. JazzKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.