TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c0e…fb07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
294
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT12920.9%27 W · 102 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+454.7%+$109.13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$51.16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.78
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$9.66
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$96.9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+266%+$50.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+488.2%+$193.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.28
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$341.78
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.75
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$46.78
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$43.92
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$46.3
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.69
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$54.03
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.35
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$183.99
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.04
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$98.1
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.75
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$73.89
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.84
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$39.58
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4719.1%9 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.94
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$58.92
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.02
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$374
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+59.7%+$336.11
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.4%+$87
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.7%+$167.81
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.8%+$110.29
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$158.4
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.14
Will Donovan Ezeiruaku be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75%+$706.12
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.12
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$18.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$53.72
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$90.53
Dota 2: Ivory vs yache123 (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+70.3%+$55.35
Dota 2: Komodo vs Kopite (BO3)backed Kopite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+150.5%+$135.17
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+98.2%+$23.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$311.42
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+34.2%+$63.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$148.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.