NFL · resolved market

Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec3b68de0b4da93d1b670b71772c6ced34ad368113de107021fe70adad18847

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $505,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $580,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9df5…61e1backed Yes	15c	291,039$43,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,634.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7134…8febbacked Yes	1c	7,385$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	7,235$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.04	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…fa83backed Yes	0c	5,085$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeafd…44d4backed Yes	0c	5,085$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	4,296$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	61	1.6%1 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-95.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	28c	3,965$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.19	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Yes	51c	3,900$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	6c	2,459$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.32	149	26.2%39 W · 110 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	8c	2,201$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.62	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes	23c	2,074$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.58	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	1c	1,515$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-60%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	7c	1,264$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.47	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes	6c	1,083$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.09	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes	52c	969.67$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.35	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	885.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes	19c	834.32$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.57	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3795…6942backed Yes	2c	752$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	15c	747.46$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.87	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	729.91$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.22	368	26.9%99 W · 269 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	712.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes	63c	555.56$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47de…410ebacked Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…320fbacked Yes	46c	490$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.45	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	424.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8aa…1a02backed Yes	64c	394.48$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.59	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	73c	339.2$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.42	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dbd…dde8backed Yes	34c	291.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Yes	35c	286.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e64…af6ebacked Yes	4c	249.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Yes	47c	249$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.04	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes	5c	233$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes	5c	220.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x219b…8f9dbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x408e…6cddbacked Yes	60c	196.25$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	57c	174.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfb…c415backed Yes	60c	166.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No	49c	129.51$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.48	283	37.8%107 W · 176 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed Yes	52c	101.25$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…9286backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	15c	96.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes	48c	83.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ea…5799backed No	80c	80$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Yes	18c	70.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…8f7ebacked No	74c	70$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Yes	53c	66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f2…d8efbacked Yes	52c	65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6435…e3cfbacked Yes	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	55cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db4…410fbacked Yes	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…345fbacked No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e8…db37backed Yes	53c	49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6e…db70backed Yes	44c	45.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No	70c	40.23$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee4…fa88backed No	37c	38.6$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85b…ed94backed Yes	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d5f…308bbacked Yes	62c	24.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	76c	20.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.03	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event